AI Investment and the New U.S. Productivity Frontier

Economic Insights

Canada | USA

The capital wave behind artificial intelligence
Artificial intelligence has become the defining growth engine of the 2020s. Total private AI investment in the U.S. reached $68 billion in 2024, accounting for more than half of all global AI spending. Cloud infrastructure, semiconductor capacity, and enterprise adoption are driving a surge in productivity optimism reminiscent of the 1990s internet boom.

Table 1. U.S. AI-Related Investment

YearTotal ($ B)% of Total Venture FundingPublic–Private Infrastructure Spend ($ B)
202242369
2023554413
2024685219

Sources: PwC AI Index 2025; BEA.

The productivity effect so far
Non-farm productivity rose 2.1 percent in 2024, double its pre-pandemic average. Generative-AI applications in coding, design, and logistics are delivering measurable efficiency gains, but diffusion remains uneven across sectors.

Table 2. Productivity Growth by Sector (% YoY)

Sector2015–19 Avg20242025 (f)
Manufacturing0.81.92.3
Services1.11.72.0
Information & Tech2.94.85.2

Sources: BEA; Conference Board.

Strategic takeaway
Executives should prioritize AI investments that pair automation with human-capital redesign. Early adopters report 15–25 percent faster project delivery and improved decision speed. Productivity leadership will separate firms that master data integration from those that merely pilot tools.