Talent, Demographics, and the Economics of Belonging

Immigration as growth engine

Immigration accounts for 98 % of Canada’s population growth. IRCC targets 485,000 new permanent residents in 2025 and 500,000 in 2026. Yet underemployment among newcomers remains near 20 %, limiting GDP potential.

Indicator201520242025Source
Immigration inflow (000s)271471485IRCC Plan 2025–2027
Underemployment (immigrants, %)262119Statistics Canada
Foreign-credential recognition rate38 %45 %47 %ESDC

Economic leverage

Newcomers add consumption, fill labour shortages, and rejuvenate demographics — but productivity gains require rapid credentialing and workforce integration.

What leaders can do

  1. Invest in on-boarding pathways. Offer fast-track credential mentorship.
  2. Adopt inclusive hiring metrics. Track career progression, not just diversity quotas.
  3. Partner with immigrant entrepreneur hubs. Unlock SME innovation pipelines.
  4. Leverage remote international talent. Canada’s digital visa regime allows hybrid teams.

Arcus Insight: Belonging is economic infrastructure. Inclusion policies are productivity levers, not HR checkboxes.